A.I. AKHMETZYANOVA

Kazan Federal (Volga region) University, 18 Kremlevskaya St., Kazan, Russian Federation, 42000

Akhmetzyanova A.I. — Candidate of Psychological Sciences, Associate Professor, Deputy Director of the Institute of Psychology and Education of scientific activity, tel. +7-987-290-46-23, e-mail: [email protected] [email protected]

The article presents an analysis of a problem of anticipation and probabilistic forecasting in both healthy people and in case of mental retardation, schizophrenia, neurosis, speech pathology. The author proceeds from the understanding that all the gnostic and motor activity is regulated by human antitcipational-forecasting process. Forecasting processes are based on probabilistic structure of past experience and information on the present situation. Previous experience and external situation act as base hypotheses about the upcoming future. In accordance with the prediction the appropriate actions are being prepared. On the basis of theoretical analysis of a problem of anticipation in health and disease it is concluded that probabilistic forecasting is adaptive and maladaptive and in mental or psychic insolvency anticipative inconsistency is observed. 

Key words: anticipation, probabilistic forecasting, developmental delay.

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